Look, Crystal Palace in a European quarterfinal still sounds a little weird, doesn't it? Oliver Glasner called it a "huge achievement" after the Eagles knocked out AEK Larnaca, and he’s not wrong. Ismaïla Sarr's extra-time goal at the AEK Arena in Cyprus, coming after two red cards for Larnaca, sealed a 1-0 win and a spot against Fiorentina. It’s the furthest Palace has ever been in a UEFA competition, eclipsing their 1970-71 Texaco Cup run where they lost to Tottenham in the semi-finals.
Here's the thing: this isn't the Champions League. It’s the Conference League. But for a club that finished 10th in the Premier League last season with 49 points and a goal difference of -3, any European adventure is something to shout about. They’ve gone toe-to-toe with Feyenoord and Sporting CP in the group stage, drawing 2-2 at home against the Dutch side and beating Sporting 2-1 in Lisbon. That's real football, real pressure, and Glasner has navigated it expertly. Since taking over in February, his side has only lost twice in 14 matches across all competitions, a run that includes a five-game unbeaten streak in March.
**The Fiorentina Hurdle and the Premier League Grind**
Now comes Fiorentina, a club with genuine European pedigree. They were runners-up in the 1957 European Cup and reached the UEFA Cup final in 1990. This season, they sit 8th in Serie A, having just scraped past Maccabi Haifa on aggregate in the last 16 thanks to a late Antonin Barák goal. The first leg against Palace is scheduled for April 11th at Selhurst Park, followed by the return leg in Florence a week later. It’s a tough draw, no doubt, but Palace has shown they can grind out results. Their overall record in Europe this season stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and just 2 losses. Not bad for a side many pundits tipped to struggle in Europe.
But here’s the hot take: Palace winning this competition would be a bigger upset than Leicester City winning the Premier League in 2016. Seriously. Leicester had a settled squad, no European distractions, and rode a wave of momentum. Palace is still finding its feet under Glasner, with a squad built more for Premier League survival than European glory. They've got the likes of Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise who can produce moments of magic, but the depth isn't quite there. Olise, for instance, has only played 13 Premier League games this season due to injury, but he did bag a brace against Fulham in February. Keeping those key players fit for both domestic and European duties is going to be Glasner's biggest challenge. They're currently 14th in the league, eight points clear of the drop, so they can't afford to completely take their eye off the ball.
The manager’s calm demeanor and tactical nous have been infectious. He’s managed to instill a belief that was perhaps lacking under previous regimes. Beating a nine-man Larnaca sounds easy, but going to Cyprus and getting the job done in extra time shows grit. And grit is what you need in Europe.
My bold prediction? Crystal Palace pulls off a shocker, beats Fiorentina on penalties in Florence, and makes it to the Conference League semifinals.